Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 382.969057 435.841249 494.952211 566.230056 650.235934 746.565118 866.059529
2025-08-17 311.592188 382.010813 468.217558 582.738058 732.719770 925.050393 1194.597699
2025-08-24 266.770140 342.634221 441.003043 580.183510 775.798997 1046.781655 1461.198392
2025-08-31 232.746658 309.927415 414.615278 570.386947 802.296373 1144.921035 1709.597779
2025-09-07 210.571649 289.248371 400.218017 572.830107 843.426408 1267.450655 2017.001325
2025-09-14 188.944886 266.254373 378.879345 560.712062 858.575999 1349.761316 2273.627274
2025-09-21 173.747108 250.672356 366.150758 559.224267 889.018822 1460.363489 2602.872777
2025-09-28 155.873988 229.110170 341.702606 535.309895 877.453575 1494.787123 2794.380933
2025-10-05 150.133782 225.604682 344.982151 557.326157 948.482649 1690.687634 3357.878740
2025-10-12 145.746076 223.691697 350.405990 583.348357 1030.361179 1922.390301 4063.575795
2025-10-19 137.861854 215.281426 344.004949 587.200665 1070.198833 2076.336186 4634.861842
2025-10-26 127.881027 202.503100 328.859875 572.980200 1071.759296 2148.740927 5025.124617
2025-11-02 119.117488 191.325092 315.894079 562.161721 1080.367343 2242.295647 5512.480534
2025-11-09 115.237331 188.302100 317.237355 579.425030 1151.615635 2496.737365 6544.853420
2025-11-16 109.004889 180.580141 309.202346 576.785331 1178.409766 2649.234201 7333.445434
2025-11-23 102.461299 171.788450 298.371545 567.069222 1187.450966 2758.647654 8029.191088
2025-11-30 97.989423 166.434986 293.586881 569.493945 1225.424996 2953.338921 9101.271479
2025-12-07 92.236330 158.287604 282.695706 557.460783 1226.332952 3046.054981 9846.361771
2025-12-14 88.118910 152.934423 276.873236 555.983348 1253.541845 3221.218912 10998.148722
2025-12-21 81.996350 143.363377 261.879551 532.235002 1219.846232 3207.181076 11367.722062
2025-12-28 80.911692 143.442252 266.486056 554.098471 1310.469875 3601.570142 13743.410740
2026-01-04 80.191630 144.169461 272.470915 579.938492 1416.924297 4080.010483 16859.252842
2026-01-11 77.505048 140.790644 269.504351 583.763688 1461.834497 4362.823274 19191.909031